The article analyzes the betting landscape for Saturday’s Grade 1 Whitney race, assuming Mindframe will scratch if Fierceness runs. The author views Fierceness as a slight favorite over Sierra Leone, but neither offers good betting value due to likely overbetting. Instead, the focus is on wagering strategies, particularly using the Whitney exacta as a stepping stone to betting the Breeders’ Cup Classic exacta. The author dismisses some entrants like Highland Falls and Disarm due to class concerns and prefers versatile horses like Skippylongstocking and White Abarrio for exacta plays.

Post Time is highlighted as a potential overlay with better odds than Sierra Leone or Fierceness, benefiting from the expected early pace set by horses like Mama’s Gold and Contrary Thinking. The recommended betting approach is to box Skippylongstocking, White Abarrio, and Post Time in exactas, with the possibility of adding Sierra Leone or Fierceness in trifectas if Post Time’s odds drift higher. Overall, the article emphasizes value betting and pace dynamics over simply picking the winner.