Title: "2025 Kentucky Derby: Top Horses, Betting Insights, and Expert Predictions"
The 2025 Kentucky Derby will feature 20 of the top three-year-old horses in the world. The 2025 Kentucky Derby field was announced last Saturday, when the 2025 Kentucky Derby post positions were set. Journalism is the 3-1 favorite in the 2025 Kentucky Derby odds and will run from the No. 8 post. He is followed by Sovereignty (5-1), who drew gate No. 18, and Sandman (6-1), who will start from post No. 17. Post time for the Kentucky Derby is set for 6:57 p.m. ET on Saturday at Churchill Downs.
Which 2025 Kentucky Derby horses should you back with your 2025 Kentucky Derby bets? Before making any 2025 Kentucky Derby picks, be sure to see the horse racing predictions and futures bets from SportsLine’s elite horse racing expert Jody Demling.
A fixture in the horse racing world who has been writing about, talking about, and betting on races for years, Demling has nailed the Kentucky Oaks-Derby double 11 times in the last 16 years. He also predicted the winner of the Belmont Stakes four of the last seven years and called 10 of the last 20 Preakness winners, including in 2023, when he hit the winner, exacta, trifecta, and superfecta, as well as the trifecta in 2024. Anyone who has followed him on those picks on betting sites like TwinSpires and 1/ST BET is up huge.
Now, with the 2025 Kentucky Derby post positions set and odds on the board, Demling is sharing his 2025 Kentucky Derby betting picks and 2025 Kentucky Derby predictions over at SportsLine.
Top 2025 Kentucky Derby predictions
One of Demling’s surprising 2025 Kentucky Derby picks: He is fading Rodriguez (12-1), who barely cracks the top 10 finishers in his 2025 Kentucky Derby projections. Rodriguez will make his Churchill Downs debut after none of his previous five races came at the legendary Kentucky track. In addition, the Kentucky Derby 2025 will be just his second race outside the state of California. Rodriguez, trained by Bob Baffert, hasn’t been challenged in a Grade 1 stakes race either.
Although Baffert is tied for the most Kentucky Derby victories (six), only one of those horses never ran in a Grade 1 race prior to the Run for the Roses. Even Medina Spirit, who crossed the finish line first at the 2021 Kentucky Derby before being disqualified for a failed drug test, had previous Grade 1 stakes experience, which could indicate Baffert doesn’t have as much confidence in Rodriguez as his previous Kentucky Derby victors. At 12-1 odds, Demling suggests staying away from Rodriguez in 2025 Kentucky Derby bets.
Another stunner: Demling is high on Luxor Cafe, even though he is a 15-1 longshot in the Kentucky Derby odds 2025. Luxor Cafe won the Japan Road to the Kentucky Derby, clinching his spot in the 2025 Kentucky Derby field with a smashing win in the Fukuryu Stakes in late March. He brings a four-race winning streak to Churchill Downs, including a pair of wins over UAE Derby winner Admire Daytona.
Luxor Cafe was sired by American Pharoah, who won the 2015 Triple Crown and was named the Horse of the Year. American Pharoah’s offspring have yet to make an impact in the Triple Crown, but that could change with Luxor Cafe. Demling says Luxor Cafe’s resume looks particularly impressive following Admire Daytona’s UAE Derby victory, which is not being properly accounted for in the 2025 Kentucky Derby betting odds.
How to make 2025 Kentucky Derby picks, bets
Demling is especially high on a colossal double-digit longshot who is "generating buzz on the backside." Demling is sharing which horse it is, along with his entire projected 2025 Kentucky Derby leaderboard, over at SportsLine.
Which horse wins the Kentucky Derby 2025, and which huge double-digit longshot is a must-back? Check out the latest 2025 Kentucky Derby odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Demling’s picks for the Kentucky Derby, all from the expert who has nailed 11 Derby-Oaks doubles.
2025 Kentucky Derby odds, post positions