The 2025 Kentucky Derby is set to showcase 20 elite three-year-old horses, with the race scheduled for 6:57 p.m. ET at Churchill Downs. The favorite is Journalism at 3-1, starting from post No. 8, followed by Sovereignty at 5-1 from gate No. 18, and Sandman at 6-1 from post No. 17. Expert Jody Demling, known for his successful predictions in major horse races, is offering insights and betting picks for the event.
Demling advises against betting on Rodriguez, who has 12-1 odds and lacks experience at Churchill Downs, having not competed in a Grade 1 stakes race. Despite trainer Bob Baffert’s impressive Kentucky Derby history, Demling suggests that Rodriguez may not have the necessary credentials to perform well in this prestigious race.
Conversely, Demling is optimistic about Luxor Cafe, a 15-1 longshot who secured his Derby spot by winning the Fukuryu Stakes. Sired by American Pharoah, Luxor Cafe boasts a four-race winning streak and impressive victories, including one over UAE Derby winner Admire Daytona. Demling believes Luxor Cafe’s potential is undervalued in the current betting odds, making him a horse to watch in the upcoming Derby.